Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1.561405 1.804276 2.067118 2.372039 2.715339 3.089177 3.526346
2024-10-20 1.127090 1.447782 1.826648 2.304236 2.886888 3.571110 4.431597
2024-10-27 0.881408 1.244014 1.706658 2.332910 3.150114 4.171049 5.532335
2024-11-03 0.707709 1.087817 1.607326 2.355846 3.390740 4.752958 6.659708
2024-11-10 0.573745 0.954427 1.508531 2.352968 3.581668 5.274159 7.744041
2024-11-17 0.463735 0.831698 1.399973 2.312163 3.702694 5.697924 8.719404
2024-11-24 0.376721 0.726213 1.297164 2.259209 3.789976 6.069517 9.638469
2024-12-01 0.320427 0.660022 1.243865 2.271320 3.969320 6.581323 10.790470
2024-12-08 0.269954 0.593654 1.178632 2.252129 4.091454 7.008796 11.838503
2024-12-15 0.239838 0.559283 1.162711 2.311503 4.342463 7.649619 13.252055
2024-12-22 0.207810 0.514576 1.120657 2.317777 4.500975 8.149221 14.469902
2024-12-29 0.191730 0.500028 1.133001 2.422848 4.837304 8.959876 16.236376
2025-01-05 0.172599 0.476296 1.126242 2.495582 5.130662 9.733090 18.016054
2025-01-12 0.147146 0.432719 1.072812 2.471893 5.246690 10.213665 19.341850
2025-01-19 0.131393 0.409262 1.058426 2.524284 5.509525 10.968717 21.184966
2025-01-26 0.116441 0.384419 1.037000 2.558933 5.740126 11.680436 22.994411
2025-02-02 0.101465 0.355847 1.002331 2.560427 5.903915 12.279340 24.636928
2025-02-09 0.086289 0.322715 0.951171 2.518561 5.974461 12.707137 25.992647
2025-02-16 0.072755 0.290691 0.897081 2.462427 6.008426 13.064929 27.236771
2025-02-23 0.064203 0.272071 0.874194 2.475897 6.190071 13.717303 29.063664
2025-03-02 0.055500 0.250368 0.839229 2.455399 6.294741 14.222754 30.636643
2025-03-09 0.050859 0.241664 0.838667 2.519484 6.591214 15.126790 33.017603
2025-03-16 0.044933 0.226399 0.816705 2.526286 6.757771 15.775869 34.933735